An Imagining the Internet team including Glenn Scott and undergraduate students Ashley Barnas and Craig Campbell edited and posted four hours of video interviews with 31 global leaders recorded at the conference in Seoul, Korea in 2008. About the survey and the participants Please note that this survey is primarily aimed at eliciting focused observations on the likely impact and influence of the internet. To see a full list of student participants, see:. A number of the survey participants indicated that the divide between the tolerant and intolerant could possibly be deepened because of information-sharing tactics people use on the Internet. In the early 1990s, people predicted the death of privacy, an end to the current concept of 'property,' a paperless society, 500 channels of high-definition interactive television, world peace, and the extinction of the human race after a takeover engineered by intelligent machines. Those urls are given in the chapters devoted to the scenarios. A documentary journalism team led by Glenn Scott and including student reporters Bennett, Smith and Samantha Baranowski conducted dozens of interviews and participated in panels at the in Vilnius, Lithuania.
The surveys present potential-future scenarios to which respondents react with their expectations based on current knowledge and attitudes. The quantitative results are based on a non-random online sample of 1,021 internet experts and other internet users, recruited by email invitation, Twitter, Google+, or Facebook. Cambria's book-length version of Anderson and Rainies' fourth expert-predictions survey, was published in early 2011. The Internet is so vastly complex, incremental upgrades seem to be the only way to get anything done…Places like China may make big leaps and bounds because there is less legacy. In December, undergraduate researchers Cammie Behnke, Melissa Douglas, Maya Eaglin, Meagan Gitleman, Alex Hager, Jared Mayerson, Emmanuel Morgan, Jackie Pascale and Alexandra Roat worked under the supervision Bockino and Anderson to conduct a video survey of participants in the at United Nations headquarters in Geneva, Switzerland, producing nearly 900 responses to five important questions.
They said many of the young people growing up hyperconnected to each other and the mobile Web and counting on the internet as their external brain will be nimble, quick-acting multitaskers who will do well in key respects. Having purchased an iPhone, I was delighted when Apple updated its software to allow custom ringtones, only to discover that I needed to pay for a ringtone via the iTunes Music Store even though the ringtone I wanted to use was one in which I own the copyright! Elon students Randy Gyllenhaal, Alex Trice, Kirsten Bennett and Morgan Little participated in panels at the events. Some 32% predicted tolerance will grow. In sum, the changes in learning behavior and cognition among the young generally produce positive outcomes. They do not retain information; they spend most of their energy sharing short social messages, being entertained, and being distracted away from deep engagement with people and knowledge.
This is the first of the reports. Governments will be strongly influenced by the business conglomerates and will not do much to protect consumers. Two gentlemen with appreciably more confidence have addressed the question: and. While a wide range of opinion from experts, organizations, and interested institutions was sought, this survey should not be taken as a representative canvassing of Internet experts. We expect the site will continue to serve as a valuable resource for researchers, policy makers, students, and the general public for decades to come. One possible outcome is stagnation in innovation. You can view detailed results from the 2004, 2006, 2008 and 2010 surveys here: and.
Many respondents suggested that new economic models will have to be implemented, with an assumption that much that was once classified as paid content will have to be offered free or in exchange for attention or some other unit of value. It will become more useful. This dystopia challenges the concept of white-collar work, and unionism is increasingly an issue. Some 56% of the expert respondents disagreed with a scenario positing that social tolerance will advance significantly by then, saying communication networks also expand the potential for hate, bigotry, and terrorism. Chapter 16 Appendix A: Wired Inspired Chapter 17 Appendix B: Recording the Data Chapter 18 Suggested Readings Chapter 19 Bibliography In the early 1990s, people predicted the death of privacy, an end to the current concept of 'property, ' a paperless society, 500 channels of high-definition interactive television, world peace, and the extinction of the human race after a takeover engineered by intelligent machines.
The survey question about younger users was inspired by speculation over the past several years about the potential impact of technology on them. Third, expert participants were selected due to their positions as stakeholders in the development of the internet. Imagining the Internet zeroes in on predictions about the Internet's future and revisits past predictions—and how they turned out—to put that imagined future in perspective. And some survey respondents noted that it is not necessarily only young adults who do this well. Youth will assume their minds and intentions are extended by technology, while tracking technologies will seek further incursions into behavioral monitoring and choice manipulation.
Educators should teach the management of multiple information streams, emphasizing the skills of filtering, analyzing, and synthesizing information. It also gives the history of communications in a nutshell, illustrating the serious impact of pervasive networks and how they will change our lives over the next century. That question, more than multitasking or brain atrophy due to accessing collective intelligence via the internet, will be the challenge of the future. The surveys are conducted through an online questionnaire sent to selected experts who are encouraged to share the link with informed friends, thus also involving the highly engaged internet public. He spoke then with faculty members Janna Quitney Anderson and Constance Ledoux Book about gathering a collection of early Internet predictions - this idea was inspired by Ithiel de Sola Pool's Imagining the Internet has grown from there to include much more, including journalistic documentation of major technology policy events and the foremost collection of video documenting people's expectations for the future of the Internet. A documentary video team from Imagining the Internet including Julie Morse, Joe Bruno, Brian Mezerski and Ryan Greene , led by Professor Brian Walsh, conducted survey interviews of the delegates to the.
The interesting results found in this work made it evident that the predictions research should be expanded upon. As a result, the line between marketing and manipulation will have largely disappeared. While 55% agreed with the statement that the future for the hyperconnected will generally be positive, many who chose that view noted that it is more their hope than their best guess, and a number of people said the true outcome will be a combination of both scenarios. Reform could start by recognizing that distractions of all kinds are the norm now. The lists of respondents, pro and con, are extremely readable, though a reader will probably find one table-slappingly accurate and the other either a seaweed dance of credulous dreaminess or a dramatic monologue of surly nay-saying. The old regime based its power on high distribution costs. If it is a choice between having some criminals around and having a repressive government, I will take the former; they are much easier to deal with.
More than 400 video clips were assembled from the survey conducted in Kenya by this team. My favorite part in these excursions into the words of technology prophets and critics is picking out the threads that had an influence-that helped shape the larger visions of what this massive commons has become. The results are published in the section on this site and they are also available on the site. Display devices will be everywhere, and you will be able to use them with your input device. What will improve is the ability of the artificial spaces to control physical reality, to expand our reach more effectively in many aspects of the physical universe.